Presidential Comparison

Trump vs Bush

Last updated: July 29th, 2021

This page has the comparisons between Trump vs Bush across all the metrics we track. President Trump and President Bush data are no longer in office. Their data has been set to be as equivalent by days in office to make a fair comparison of their performance. This accounts for presidents that had one term vs two terms, or presidents that had a much shortened term.

With respect to cumulative performance, Donald Trump has performed better on 3 out of the 5 metrics we track.  President Trump's highest performance difference was on the indicator NASDAQ Index performing 182.36% better than President Bush. President Trump's lowest performance difference was on GDP performing -8.45% worse than President Bush.

We highly recommend you read this article as well prior: What's the best way to interpret the facts and data on Facts First?

Trump vs. Bush stock market performance

How does Trump compare to Bush in the stock market? We share the facts on cumulative and annualized performance between Trump and Bush in the stock market. Cumulatively across the S&P 500, Trump is at 67.26% compared to Bush at -36.68% a difference of 103.93%. On the NASDAQ, Trump is at 137.56% compared to Bush at -44.80%  a difference of 182.36%. Finally, on the DOW Jones, Trump is at 56.00% compared to Bush at -21.78% a difference of 77.78%.

Index
Cumulative Performance
Donald TrumpGeorge W BushDifference
NASDAQ137.56%-44.80%Trump +182.36%
DOW56.00%-21.78%Trump +77.78%
S&P67.26%-36.68%Trump +103.93%
Index
Annualized Performance
Donald TrumpGeorge W BushDifference
NASDAQ24.13%-7.16%Trump +31.29%
DOW11.75%-3.03%Trump +14.78%
S&P13.71%-5.55%Trump +19.27%




Trump vs. Bush GDP performance

How does Trump compare to Bush with respect to GDP Growth? We share the facts on cumulative and annualized GDP growth. Cumulatively Trump is at 6.17% compared to Bush at 14.62% a difference of -8.45%

GDP
Donald TrumpGeorge W BushDifference
Cumulative6.17%14.62%Trump -8.45%
Annualized1.53%1.73%Trump -0.20%


Trump vs. Bush jobs growth performance

How does Trump compare to Bush in non-farm payroll? We share the facts on cumulative and annualized jobs created. Cumulatively Trump is at -2.03% compared to Bush at 1.02% a difference of -3.05%

Indicator
Cumulative Gain/Loss
Donald TrumpGeorge W BushDifference
Cumulative-2.03%1.02%Trump -3.05%
Annualized-0.52%0.13%Trump -0.65%


How do we calculate data for Trump vs. Bush?

We capture the data as soon as it’s available to us – stock market data after daily market close, jobs data once a month and GDP data once a quarter. After verifying the raw data, we then calculate updated cumulative and annualized performance data for the current president (the data for previous presidents have been calculated and verified in advance).

Some metrics are measured daily (like stock market performance), monthly (like jobs growth) and quarterly (like GDP growth). We start measurement of performance for a president from the first full time period after their inauguration. For stock market performance, it is the first stock market day in office. For jobs growth, it’s either first full calendar month in office (so if you are inaugurated in the middle of January, the first full month is February). This ensures a consistent starting point across all presidencies.

Also, read these articles in our Learning Center:

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